Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
+18
jess_sayin
Spectre
NSpan
Donte77
packpaljs
brockman81
mfrendo
transformers2
W
geezer9687
BanksIsDaFuture
silversurfer19
J.I.
undeadmonkey
Buscemi
A_Roode
Shrykespeare
JackO
22 posters
Page 3 of 7
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Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
JackO wrote:Shrykespeare wrote:Damn... what a pickle for the April leagues.
Do I go with Star Trek, wait for Terminator, or do a Transformers/Pelham combination?? Decisions, decisions!
Eh, my mind is made up.
if i wasn't already locked-in to my slate, i know how i would've gone about it
NSpan- Borat
- Posts : 1242
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 42
Location : Austin, TX
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I just saw Star Trek with a large audience of Trekkers and non-Trekkers alike. Let's just say that this movie is going to be big.
Buscemi- Tony Stark/ Iron Man
- Posts : 3771
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 34
Location : Springfield, Missouri
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Do you still hold your 71M 4 Day total or would you estimate higher than that now???
packpaljs- Fletch
- Posts : 601
Join date : 2009-01-28
Age : 42
Location : Alton, IL
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I'm actually going with $80 million 4-day now with some very strong legs.
Everyone in the theatre loved it. They even applauded at the end. People were lined up for the next shows and you can even expect some repeat viewings from many people who saw it tonight.
Everyone in the theatre loved it. They even applauded at the end. People were lined up for the next shows and you can even expect some repeat viewings from many people who saw it tonight.
Buscemi- Tony Stark/ Iron Man
- Posts : 3771
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 34
Location : Springfield, Missouri
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
That would be 18M over MTC. I don't see that happening.
JackO- Lt. Frank Drebin
- Posts : 907
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 38
Location : The Dark Side of Michigan
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Just saw Star Trek. Wow, people. Just, wow. Swedgin was right on point. It is FANTASTIC. Here is a link to my review:
http://www.thelatestmoviereviews.com/2009/05/07/startrek.html#med
http://www.thelatestmoviereviews.com/2009/05/07/startrek.html#med
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I am floored at the reviews. I don't think I have seen one yet that wasn't positive.
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I ended up rocking it out on my Box Office slates but left it off in Ultimate because I think the competition in the coming weeks keeps its Top 5 relatively minimized. Hopefully the BO turnout is as good as the reviews. Can't wait to see it myself.
Spectre- Harry Tuttle
- Posts : 37
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 41
Location : Cincinnati, Ohio
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Yeah, I think it will struggle to get too many top 5s because of its positioning, but it will probably have the best IMDB of the may releases and hopefully a decent BO.
Nice to see you around again Spectre, btw.
Nice to see you around again Spectre, btw.
silversurfer19- Patrick Bateman
- Posts : 1853
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 42
Location : Auckland, New Zealand. I kinda stalk Guillermo Del Toro
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
silversurfer19 wrote:Yeah, I think it will struggle to get too many top 5s because of its positioning, but it will probably have the best IMDB of the may releases and hopefully a decent BO.
Nice to see you around again Spectre, btw.
Thanks, glad to be around again surfer. Been pretty busy as of late and haven't had the chance to do much outside of playing the Super Leagues but hopefully that'll change.
Spectre- Harry Tuttle
- Posts : 37
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 41
Location : Cincinnati, Ohio
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Donte77 wrote:I am floored at the reviews. I don't think I have seen one yet that wasn't positive.
Rotten Tomatoes has 8 rotten reviews out of 188 for it. I am also pretty surprised
Spectre wrote:I ended up rocking it out on my Box Office slates but left it off in Ultimate because I think the competition in the coming weeks keeps its Top 5 relatively minimized. Hopefully the BO turnout is as good as the reviews. Can't wait to see it myself.
I added it to three of my may slates. It being one of the cheaper blockbusters, I was able to put Star Trek and Potter as anchors then fill the rest of my slate with a few pretty good picks. I'm hoping Angels and Demons bombs hard so ST can get extra top 5. Even if it doesn't, Star Trek has an IMDb of 8.4 and I'm expecting it to make at least $200M
undeadmonkey- Animal Mother
- Posts : 1086
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 36
Location : Seminole, Tx
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
undeadmonkey wrote:I added it to three of my may slates. It being one of the cheaper blockbusters, I was able to put Star Trek and Potter as anchors then fill the rest of my slate with a few pretty good picks. I'm hoping Angels and Demons bombs hard so ST can get extra top 5. Even if it doesn't, Star Trek has an IMDb of 8.4 and I'm expecting it to make at least $200M
I think the IMDb is a lock to be great and the money should be $200M+ as well, but I'm deathly afraid of it going:
1. Star Trek
----------------
1. Angels and Demons
2. Star Trek
----------------
1. Terminator: Salvation
2. Night at the Museum 2
3. Angels and Demons
4. Star Trek
----------------
1. Up
2. Terminator: Salvation
3. Night at the Museum 2
4. Drag Me to Hell
5. Star Trek/Angels and Demons
for somewhere around 11-12 Top 5 and even less PTA. There's a distinct chance that with the great WOM it'll get, it'll have enough legs to score some more but frankly, I'm scared enough by the possibility of the above scenario to pass in Ultimate at least. Its positioning is really what's hurting its chances IMO.
Spectre- Harry Tuttle
- Posts : 37
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 41
Location : Cincinnati, Ohio
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Actually, I expect it to be:
1.Star Trek
-----
1.Star Trek
2.Angels and Demons
------
1.Terminator Salvation
2.Night At The Museum 2
3.Star Trek
4.Dance Flick
------
1.Up
2.Terminator Salvation
3.Drag Me To Hell
4.Night At The Museum 2
5.Star Trek
1.Star Trek
-----
1.Star Trek
2.Angels and Demons
------
1.Terminator Salvation
2.Night At The Museum 2
3.Star Trek
4.Dance Flick
------
1.Up
2.Terminator Salvation
3.Drag Me To Hell
4.Night At The Museum 2
5.Star Trek
Buscemi- Tony Stark/ Iron Man
- Posts : 3771
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 34
Location : Springfield, Missouri
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
At best, 14 top 5's would only just make it worth it's value. But that's if it gets those positions Boussh.
silversurfer19- Patrick Bateman
- Posts : 1853
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 42
Location : Auckland, New Zealand. I kinda stalk Guillermo Del Toro
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Ummm, guys, if you do the math, none of the May movies are really going to pull in more than 11-12 Top 5s. Unless something breaks out and wins two in a row, there won't be much separation in each of them.
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Star Trek did 7 mil on Thurs.
jess_sayin- J.J Gittes
- Posts : 18
Join date : 2008-11-28
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
geezer9687 wrote:Ummm, guys, if you do the math, none of the May movies are really going to pull in more than 11-12 Top 5s. Unless something breaks out and wins two in a row, there won't be much separation in each of them.
Depends on where you think the busts are.
Spectre- Harry Tuttle
- Posts : 37
Join date : 2008-11-26
Age : 41
Location : Cincinnati, Ohio
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I honestly don't think anything is going to perform poorly, and each of them will pull in at least 150 million, and not more than 225, except Terminator, which I see being the biggest at 260, but still losing in its second weekend to Up.
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Spectre wrote:undeadmonkey wrote:I added it to three of my may slates. It being one of the cheaper blockbusters, I was able to put Star Trek and Potter as anchors then fill the rest of my slate with a few pretty good picks. I'm hoping Angels and Demons bombs hard so ST can get extra top 5. Even if it doesn't, Star Trek has an IMDb of 8.4 and I'm expecting it to make at least $200M
I think the IMDb is a lock to be great and the money should be $200M+ as well, but I'm deathly afraid of it going:
for somewhere around 11-12 Top 5 and even less PTA. There's a distinct chance that with the great WOM it'll get, it'll have enough legs to score some more but frankly, I'm scared enough by the possibility of the above scenario to pass in Ultimate at least. Its positioning is really what's hurting its chances IMO.
Your probably right and i'm a teensy bit worried, but like geezer said the others wont get much more TOP5 either. Also with a cheaper blockbuster, I was able to take a few midsized picks like Drag Me To Hell and The Proposal to help with top5. I can see UP possibly winning two weekends, but my gut is saying that it has a ceiling of $200M, while Star Trek has a shot to do more if the WOM is good. Well I guess you could say the same about UP too.
undeadmonkey- Animal Mother
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Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 36
Location : Seminole, Tx
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I don't think Up will beat Land of the Lost in its second weekend. Land of the Lost should make at least 30-35 million. Up should do the same top 5 as Star Trek, but make probably a little less, which is why I recently switched them in the April Ultimates.
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Hmm, I actually went with Transformers and Terminator in the April leagues. Meanwhile, I'm glad I have Wolverine in only one slate, It's not holding up too well in the midweek numbers. I bet it tops out at $200M, which to me is not enough to warrant its price tag in some leagues.
undeadmonkey- Animal Mother
- Posts : 1086
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 36
Location : Seminole, Tx
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
I only made one change and that was earlier to add Drag Me To Hell on more slates. I don't get this mass hysteria.
Mason
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $26M, $6,755 PTA, $33M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $9.15M, $2,231 PTA, $111.77M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $3.05M, $961 PTA, $22.84M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $2M, $769 PTA, $51.64M cume
5. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $1.25M, $1,098 PTA, $1.25M cume
6. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $1.15M, $396 PTA, $50.91M cume
7. The Soloist (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $1M, $478 PTA, $20.89M cume
8. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $847,000, $388 PTA, $184.36M cume
9. Earth (Disney) - $697,000, $389 PTA, $24.29M cume
10. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $690,000, $300 PTA, $72.35M cume
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $69.68M, $18,103 PTA, $76.68M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $30.05M, $7,326 PTA, $132.67M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $10.06M, $3,170 PTA, $29.86M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $6.25M, $2,402 PTA, $55.89M cume
5. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $3.73M, $1,287 PTA, $53.49M cume
6. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.72M, $1,706 PTA, $187.24M cume
8. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $3.55M, $3,120 PTA, $3.55M cume
9. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $2.62M, $1,140 PTA, $74.29M cume
10. Earth (Disney) - $2.44M, $1,361 PTA, $26.03M cume
Mason
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $26M, $6,755 PTA, $33M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $9.15M, $2,231 PTA, $111.77M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $3.05M, $961 PTA, $22.84M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $2M, $769 PTA, $51.64M cume
5. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $1.25M, $1,098 PTA, $1.25M cume
6. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $1.15M, $396 PTA, $50.91M cume
7. The Soloist (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $1M, $478 PTA, $20.89M cume
8. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $847,000, $388 PTA, $184.36M cume
9. Earth (Disney) - $697,000, $389 PTA, $24.29M cume
10. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $690,000, $300 PTA, $72.35M cume
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $69.68M, $18,103 PTA, $76.68M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $30.05M, $7,326 PTA, $132.67M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $10.06M, $3,170 PTA, $29.86M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $6.25M, $2,402 PTA, $55.89M cume
5. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $3.73M, $1,287 PTA, $53.49M cume
6. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.72M, $1,706 PTA, $187.24M cume
8. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $3.55M, $3,120 PTA, $3.55M cume
9. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $2.62M, $1,140 PTA, $74.29M cume
10. Earth (Disney) - $2.44M, $1,361 PTA, $26.03M cume
JackO- Lt. Frank Drebin
- Posts : 907
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 38
Location : The Dark Side of Michigan
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Funny, the numbers I saw on Steve's blog are slightly different from the ones shown above:
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $26M, $6,755 PTA, $33M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $9.15M, $2,231 PTA, $111.77M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $3.05M, $961 PTA, $22.84M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $2M, $769 PTA, $51.64M cume
5. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $1.25M, $1,098 PTA, $1.25M cume
6. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $1.15M, $396 PTA, $50.91M cume
7. The Soloist (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $1M, $478 PTA, $20.89M cume
8. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $847,000, $388 PTA, $184.36M cume
9. Earth (Disney) - $697,000, $389 PTA, $24.29M cume
10. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $690,000, $300 PTA, $72.35M cume
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $69.68M, $18,103 PTA, $76.68M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $27.95M, $6,814 PTA, $130.57M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $10.06M, $3,170 PTA, $29.86M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $6.25M, $2,402 PTA, $55.89M cume
5. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $4.5M, $1,550 PTA, $54.26M cume
6. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $4.1M, $3,603 PTA, $4.1M cume
7. The Soloist (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.6M, $1,722 PTA, $23.49M cume
8. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.55M, $1,625 PTA, $187.06M cume
9. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $2.62M, $1,140 PTA, $74.29M cume
10. Earth (Disney) - $2.44M, $1,361 PTA, $26.03M cume
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $26M, $6,755 PTA, $33M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $9.15M, $2,231 PTA, $111.77M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $3.05M, $961 PTA, $22.84M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $2M, $769 PTA, $51.64M cume
5. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $1.25M, $1,098 PTA, $1.25M cume
6. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $1.15M, $396 PTA, $50.91M cume
7. The Soloist (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $1M, $478 PTA, $20.89M cume
8. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $847,000, $388 PTA, $184.36M cume
9. Earth (Disney) - $697,000, $389 PTA, $24.29M cume
10. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $690,000, $300 PTA, $72.35M cume
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Star Trek (Paramount) - $69.68M, $18,103 PTA, $76.68M
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (Fox) - $27.95M, $6,814 PTA, $130.57M cume
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past (Warner Bros) - $10.06M, $3,170 PTA, $29.86M
4. Obsessed (Sony) - $6.25M, $2,402 PTA, $55.89M cume
5. 17 Again (Warner Bros) - $4.5M, $1,550 PTA, $54.26M cume
6. NEW – Next Day Air (Summit) - $4.1M, $3,603 PTA, $4.1M cume
7. The Soloist (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.6M, $1,722 PTA, $23.49M cume
8. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.55M, $1,625 PTA, $187.06M cume
9. Hannah Montana: The Movie (Disney) - $2.62M, $1,140 PTA, $74.29M cume
10. Earth (Disney) - $2.44M, $1,361 PTA, $26.03M cume
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
They look exactly the same to me.
JackO- Lt. Frank Drebin
- Posts : 907
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 38
Location : The Dark Side of Michigan
Re: Star Trek and Future Tracking (Updated with MTC)
Looks like the new numbers has Wolverine at 27 instead of 30 and Next Day Air at 6 instead of 3.5. Not that much of a difference though.
BanksIsDaFuture- Marv
- Posts : 1723
Join date : 2008-11-25
Age : 36
Location : Lost In The Midwest, against my will.
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