RS tracking for Thanksgiving 5-day

And with that, geezer will complete his clean sweep, finishing in sole possession or a tie for first place in ALL FOUR September Super Leagues. In addition, it looks like only geezer, Shaan and myself, will still be alive in all four tournaments come Dec. 1. Given that geezer will then be the only one to not only never have been cut from any tournament nor even ended up in the RZ, I think that if this tournament had an MVP, geez would be the unanimous choice. Holy prognostication, Batman!

You are definitely the of this game.

Shryke, could you imagine if round 9 was the final round? Damn I really wish you designed it that way. I would have at least a share of 5 titles!

How hard is Thanksgiving to predict?

Just look at this.

Box Office Prophets has Bolt at 1, Four Christmases at 2, and Twilight at 3
Box Office Guru has Twilight at 1, Four Christmases at 2, and Bolt at 3
DeadlineHollywood Daily has Four Christmases at 1, Twilight at 2, and Bolt at 3

Crazy stuff!

Four Christmases is doing amazing. $100 million is definately in play now.

And to all the people who said Bolt was a bomb:

Four Christmases is doing really well much better than i expected.

From http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

1 N Four Christmases WB (NL) $31,680,000 - 3,310 - $9,571 $46,710,000 $80 1
2 3 Bolt BV $26,596,000 +1.4% 3,654 +3 $7,279 $66,862,000 - 2
3 1 Twilight Sum. $26,370,000 -62.1% 3,425 +6 $7,699 $119,688,000 $37 2
4 2 Quantum of Solace Sony $19,500,000 -27.0% 3,501 +43 $5,570 $142,056,000 $200 3
5 N Australia Fox $14,815,000 - 2,642 - $5,607 $20,000,000 $130 1
6 4 Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa P/DW $14,500,000 -7.4% 3,709 -298 $3,909 $159,511,000 $150 4
7 N Transporter 3 LGF $12,330,000 - 2,626 - $4,695 $18,500,000 - 1
8 5 Role Models Uni. $5,284,000 -27.9% 2,195 -538 $2,407 $57,896,000 $28 4
9 8 The Boy in the Striped Pajamas Mira. $1,690,000 +2.6% 582 +176 $2,904 $5,160,000 - 4
10 N Milk Focus $1,381,000 - 36 - $38,361 $1,866,000 - 1
11 11 Slumdog Millionaire FoxS $1,367,000 +44.2% 49 +17 $27,898 $3,565,000 - 3
12 6 Changeling Uni. $1,207,000 -55.2% 1,010 -729 $1,195 $33,859,000 $55 6

Wow, audiences really are stupid. They made Deck The Halls 2 Number 1.

1 Four Christmases---$31,680,000

2 Bolt------------------$26,596,000 +1.4%

3 Twilight--------------$26,370,000 -62.1%

4 Quantum of Solace-$19,500,000 -27.0%

5 Australia------------$14,815,000

6 Madagascar 2-------$14,500,000 -7.4%

7 Transporter 3-------$12,330,000

8 Role Models---------$5,284,000 -27.9%

9 The Boy in Pajamas-$1,690,000 +2.6%

10 Milk$-----------------$1,381,000


Just deleted some stuff to pinpoint something. I called the Twilight drop for at least 60%. and I have to say if it wouldnt of been thanksgiving weekend, it would of been bigger. All the rest had minimal drops, or even upticks in some cases.

Good thing I have Four Chirstmases in Box Office Leagues . . . that don't even count anymore.

Here is a comparison to the custom Kranks set up I did and the studio estimates

13.5 Friday(+52%), 13.014 Saturday (-3.6%), 7.808 Sunday (-40%) = 34.322M 3 Day

13.11 Friday (+46%), 12.2 Saturday (-6.9%), 6.35 Sunday (-48%) = 31.68 3 Day

I think I did pretty well. I still think Four will still follow Kranks and expect somewhere in the 45-50% drop range. Also, in other news, it looks like Twilight's closest comparison is Sex and the City, which had another pretty big drop in it's 3rd weekend. It's targeting around 11 M if it stays at that pace, we'll see I guess.