Super-contest of 2009// Blockbusters of 2009

My mistake! It was jas_8382 NOT you! Sorry!... Bad news for you! I guess...

10 players: J.I., IPKI$$, undeadmonkey, SuperShaan, becs, silversurfer19, Keyser Soze, leestu, jas_8382 and Donte77 have chosen Star Trek.
After BOM estimates, Star Trek did a very good job: 72.5 in OW, 76.5 after its first 4 days (Thu included).
I don't agree with the ones that say this (movie) will have Batman Begins multiplier - 4.21 . I'm thinking of 2.7-2.8, so $195-205 M.
It will depend of its 2nd weekend drop.
What do you think?

I think I am officially fucked in this competition, that is what i think

As of Wolverine, the experts said $155-165 M, I'm still hoping at $180-185 M.
Let's see Angels & Demons numbers... I don't think it will surpass those of DaVinci Code...
geezer9687, I haven't chosen Star Trek either
This is Life! With pleasant & unpleasant surprises...
I'm still optimist though...

I'm more pissed about picking Watchmen (So far the bomb of the year) then this missing out on this Star Trek fad.

Damn, I missed out on Star Trek and Monsters vs. Aliens...not to mention all the unexpected hits like Taken and Paul Blart.

angels and demons = watchmen

aquamann2001 wrote:angels and demons = watchmen

just at Box-Office Let's see the numbers of T4 and NATM 2...

Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian = $53.5 M on OW. Do you actually think that it will surpass the numbers of 1st NATM ? I don't think so. I won't be surprised if it won't reach even the $200 M mark.
Terminator Salvation = $43.01 M on OW. After so many mixed reviews, this can be below to "Fast and Furious". I won't be surprised if it won't surpass even the blamed Paul Blart: Mall Cop and the very appreciated Taken. Maybe this one won't even reach the final 2009 Top 10 movies... What do you think?
Next one is UP which I think that it will surely surpass the 200 mark

These disappointing OWs are going to make this a very interesting competition.

numbersix_99 wrote:Interesting selection, SS- you've no hope in T4?

silversurfer19 wrote:I think it will make similar numbers to T3; ie around 150m-160m. That, I don't think will be enough to make the top 10.

Well, I have made a few bad decisions in this game this year (Watchmen, Angels and Demons, Wolverine) but it seems like I got this one correct from the onset.

Do you want us to update ourselves or are you handling it yourself Delfi?

I have my numbers updated as of today 5-28-09 if you want me to post them.

R U full of impatience, Donte?
I'll update our data, for everyone, after 1st weekend of every month
Next week, we'll have the first partial standings...
Thank you!

Not really, I was curious as to how I was doing so I ran my numbers.

First update - 05/31/09: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=rL4fgQjngFYZrP1nGmKSn-w&single=true&gid=3&output=html

STANDINGS
=======-

On BO Total:
1. undeadmonkey
2. Keyser Soze
3. J.I.
4. delfinasu
5. becs

On BO Average:
1. J.I.
2. becs
3. undeadmonkey
4. Keyser Soze
5. jas_8382

Numbers as of 05/31/09:
Star Trek - 209.31
Monsters Vs. Aliens - 194.42
X-Men Origins: Wolverine - 170.84
Watchmen - 107.51
Angels & Demons - 104.91
Night at the Museum II: Escape from the Smithsonian - 104.15
Terminator Salvation - 90.95
Up - 68.11

First impressions:
- good choices until now: Star Trek, Monsters Vs. Aliens and Up
- so/so choices: Night at the Museum II: Escape from the Smithsonian and X-Men Origins: Wolverine
- bad choices - everything else... especially Watchmen, Angels & Demons and Terminator Salvation...

Favorites players to win this contest:
1. silversurfer19
2. undeadmonkey
3. J.I.
4. Donte77
5. JackO
6. Keyser Soze
7. SuperShaan
8. Lili
9. BarcaRulz
10. IPKI$$

damn, i hate to point this out, but my total is wrong. I've only had 6 movies come out with a total of $795M, which would actually put me in 5th place

Add The Hangover to the list that no one saw coming. At least for this game. It it stays at least 40M OW, then it could gross up to 150M, more then Angels and Demons, T4, and Watchmen.

UDM, I have this slate recorded for you:


1. Transformers -
2. Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince -
3. Avatar -
4. Up - 68.11
5. Night at the Museum II: Escape from the Smithsonian - 104.15
6. X-Men Origins: Wolverine - 170.84
7. Terminator Salvation - 90.95
8. Watchmen - 107.51
9. Star Trek - 209.31
10. Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

TOTAL: 750.88

Is it OK now?

I was also wrong on Jacko's total. I did a mistake. Now must be OK: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=rL4fgQjngFYZrP1nGmKSn-w&single=true&gid=3&output=html

Some little changes:
BO Total:
1. Keyser Soze
2. J.I.
3. delfinasu
4. becs
5. Donte77

BO Average:
1. J.I.
2. becs
3. Keyser Soze
4. jas_8382
5. BarcaRulz

Favorites players to win this contest:
1. silversurfer19
2. J.I.
3. Donte77
4. JackO
5. Keyser Soze
6. undeadmonkey
7. SuperShaan
8. BarcaRulz
9. Lili
10. IPKI$$

Sorry, UDM

PS: I knew that The Hangover will be big, but not SO BIG... Alyson and johnErle picked Land of the Lost... I don't think that it will surpass 100 mark...

I'm sure that we'll have some little surprises - pleasant and unpleasant... until the end of the year...

yes, its correct now. i hope to still win though

delfinasu wrote:Alyson and johnErle picked Land of the Lost... I don't think that it will surpass 100 mark...

Thanks for rubbing it in.

I remember making that pick before the trailers came out, back when Will Ferrel plus dinosaurs seemed like a can't-miss scenario. Then I saw the first trailer and knew I was screwed in this game.

Don't feel too bad JohnErle: What moment of insanity led me to think that 'Angels and Demons' would be a top 3 pick?

Number 3 favorite. Woohoo. Now lets see how close I get in reality... I am just hoping for a top 5. Dang Watchmen...

Some estimations for final numbers:

Up: can surpass $250M.
Star Trek: 242.5-246.5
X-Men Origins: Wolverine: $177-180 M.
The Hangover: can surpass $170M.
Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian: 161.5-185 M.
Angels & Demons: $130-135 M.
Terminator Salvation: $121-125 M.

We'll see...

I just crossed the billion mark this weekend. I am surprised at how interesting this is even though I can do nothing to change my slate. I just sit and watch.

So far Watchmen and Terminator are my weak links. Only Avatar is in doubt I think. Ice Age 3, Potter and Trans 2 are pretty much a guaranteed chunk of cash.

My actual Total: $1,285,453,784 as of 6-29-09

Total of the actual top ten is $1,863,256,731 as of 6-29-09.

I am just under 600 Mil off. Sounds bad that way. I am on track for close to 2 billion total which is not bad.

Delfi, I need updates man!!! LOL