Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

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Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Nycguy84 on Thu Aug 20, 2009 6:19 pm

Why no thread, yet? It's Wednesday morning and nobody has posted anything on Inglourious Basterds opening weekend.

My predictions:

Inglourious Basterds (High - 32, Low - 21)
Shorts (High - 13.5, Low - 7.5)
Post Grad (High - 7.5, Low - 2.5)
X-Games 3D (High - 2.5, Low - 0.5)

District 9 (Low - 35% drop, High - 51% drop)


Last edited by Nycguy84 on Thu Aug 20, 2009 6:19 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Mis-spelled word)
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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by BarcaRulz on Thu Aug 20, 2009 6:23 pm

I've got:

IB - 27m
Shorts - 12m
PG - 5.5m
XGames - don't care

District 9 - 45% drop

Should be another eventful weekend.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Buscemi on Thu Aug 20, 2009 9:34 pm

Inglourious Basterds will be lower and X Games 3-D will be higher. I don't know why, but every theatre around here is running X Games 3-D. Even Branson (an area with theatres that are behind the times) is installing REAL-D for it.

And even though there are a lot of ads out for Inglourious Basterds, I still can't see it opening to more than $20 million.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by W on Fri Aug 21, 2009 9:26 pm

DHD predicts:
IB: High 20's
D9: $19-22 M

I'll extrapolate HSX numbers for the openers (this is OW):
IB: $25.28 M
Shorts: $10.53 M
Post Grad: $3.25 M
X-Games: $2.92 (for the week, I guess)

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by BarcaRulz on Sat Aug 22, 2009 12:48 pm

Apparently first numbers have IB with a $14m Friday. That could very well translate into a $30M+ weekend.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Sat Aug 22, 2009 1:10 pm

Buscemi wrote:Inglourious Basterds will be lower and X Games 3-D will be higher. I don't know why, but every theatre around here is running X Games 3-D. Even Branson (an area with theatres that are behind the times) is installing REAL-D for it.

And even though there are a lot of ads out for Inglourious Basterds, I still can't see it opening to more than $20 million.

I doubt that theaters are installing digital projectors simply for X-Games 3D. Every theatre needs at least one digi projector to keep up with the times.

And I thought the same about Basterds, but based on what I've seen tonight, it'll have a bigger Friday then District 9. Maybe better weekend, but that depends on WOM.
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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by W on Sun Aug 23, 2009 12:51 am

DAMN! Inglourious Basterds is #106 right now with an 8.6 rating (8.3, 250 adjusted). I wonder if it'll hold in the top 250 somewhere. Meanwhile, District 9 is #33 right now with a 8.8 still (8.6, 250 adjusted).

Is it just me, or are people probably rating these flicks too high considering District 9 is higher than films like Citizen Kane, Taxi Driver, To Kill a Mockingbird, etc and BOTH D9 and IB are higher than Jaws, Die Hard, Cool Hand Luke, etc? I mean, these are some of the biggest cinematic achievements EVER and I just have a feeling these two will be mostly forgotten in the next couple of years.

Don't get me wrong, I liked District 9 very much on many different levels and I have a feeling IB will be my third favorite QT film (Reservoir Dogs and Pulp Fiction make my top 25 films ever). But two of the top 100+ films ever? I don't know about that...

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Buscemi on Sun Aug 23, 2009 5:12 am

District 9 will for sure drop by the end of the year (IMDb rating always drop around the time a film hits DVD). Meanwhile, Inglourious Basterds's ratings should stay (due to the Tarantino fans and the fact that international audiences seem to like it more).

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by BarcaRulz on Sun Aug 23, 2009 11:20 am

Early Sat number for IB is $12.5M, that's a great hold.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by J-Man on Sun Aug 23, 2009 8:58 pm

DHD Sunday AM update:

Here's the TOP 10:

1. Inglourious Basterds (TWC/Uni) NEW [3,165], $38M Wkd
2. District 9 (Sony) Week 2 [3,050], $18.8M Wkd, Cume $73.4M
3. GI Joe (Paramount) Week 3 [3,953], $12.5M Wkd, Cume $120.5M
4. Time Traveler's Wife (NL/WB) Week 2 [2,988], $10M Wkd, Cume $37.4M
5. Julie & Julia (Sony) Week 3 [2,463], $9M Wkd, Cume $59.3M
6. Shorts (WB) NEW [3,105], $6.5M Wkd
7. G-Force (Disney) Week 5 [2,561], $6M Wkd
8. Harry Potter/Half Prince (WB) Week 6 [1,971], $3.5M Wkd
9. Post Grad (Fox) NEW [1,959], $3.3 Wkd
10. Ugly Truth (Sony) Week 5 [1,936], $2.6M Wkd, Cume $82.6M

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by BarcaRulz on Sun Aug 23, 2009 10:33 pm

Bloody hell. Some excellent numbers, Potter should now get to 300, and TF2 should get to 400. District will get to 100, TTW should get to around 50-ish.

Only bad numbers are Post Grad (which we all saw coming), and Shorts; which is lower than most expected it to be.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Buscemi on Sun Aug 23, 2009 10:39 pm

I did a good job predicting Shorts and Post Grad (didn't see either breaking out). Also, Julie and Julia dropped only 25% and Ponyo dropped only 32%. Pretty good holds for those two.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Shrykespeare on Sun Aug 23, 2009 11:50 pm

Box Office Mojo Sunday estimates:

Top 5:
5 points - Basterds
4 points - District 9
3 points - GI Joe
2 points - Time Traveler's Wife
1 point - Julie & Julia

Shorts opened a #6, Post Grad at #10.


PTA:
5 points - My One and Only
4 points - Basterds
3 points - It Might Get Loud
2 points - District 9
1 point - Five Minutes of Heaven

Though, mind you, this might change tomorrow, because World's Greatest Dad has not reported yet.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Buscemi on Mon Aug 24, 2009 3:38 am

Also, X Games 3-D had the lowest wide opening ever for a Disney movie. $800,000 in about 1,400 theatres.

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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Mon Aug 24, 2009 4:07 am

Damn, I thought My One And Only would flop hard. I switched it for Five Minutes of Heaven, not the best move....
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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by Buscemi on Mon Aug 24, 2009 4:16 am

My One and Only was released by Freestyle (a bad company to release anything with) but it had a decent cast and director. Also, it opened at New York's Paris theatre and films usually open well there.

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The film lasts 99 minutes. The terror lasts forever.
Paranormal Activity
Now playing in select cities, coming soon everywhere.

Don't see it alone.
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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

Post by W on Mon Aug 24, 2009 4:34 am

Go IMGL! $4 for 8 PTA thus far isn't too bad (7 if WGD gets in the top 3)! And a 7.1 rating to boot...

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W can i state that you are a genius. I dont know how you do it dude. They should have doing the tracking instead of those other idiots. - transformers2
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Re: Weekend Box Office (August 21-23)

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