Pelham 123/ Imagine That weekend tracking

I don't actually have any tracking numbers, nor do I know where to find them.

But I'll just post my predictions and invite you guys to do the same:

1. Up - $28
2. Pelham 123 - $26
3. Hangover - $25
4. Imagine That - $16
5. Night At The Museum 2 - $8

Obviously, 1-3 could end up in any order, it'll be a very close race.

I would love for Up to keep holding well. Would also love for The Hangover to have another ridonkilously good weekend.

Pellham looks like a good thriller/action film, and should open well with two good draws.

I think:

1. Up: 29.3M
2. Pellham: 27.5M
3. Hangover: 26.5M
4. Imagine That: 12.5M

Oh, also, add whatever The Proposal sneaks make to that Up number. We could be looking at $32M+ in that case.

1.Pelham $32 million
2.Up $28 million
3.The Hangover $24 million
4.Imagine That $14 million (but with legs similar to Hotel For Dogs back in January)
5.Land Of The Lost $7 million

39% drop for Up
41% drop for The Hangover
$28 million for Pelham
$16 million for Imagine That

And I just noticed something while looking up the drops for Knoced Up and 40 Year Old Virgin, Universal's weekend actauls always end in a 5 or 0. Something's screwed up here as studios are apparently making up their own numbers for actuals.

Either that or they are rounding the numbers.

Buscemi wrote:Either that or they are rounding the numbers.

Yeah. That was my first thought too. It's not like they all ended in 000 which would be too much rounding, it's just the last number. Hardly worth anything in the grand (or even not so grand) scheme of things.

Hangover/Up 30-35 million
Pelham 20-25 million
Imagine That- 12-17 million

I like Geezers predictions best, cuz its just easy, but I think that Hangover will be more $25-30M

Here's the prediction at www.leesmovieinfo.net:

1. Pelham - $35.1M
2. Up - $28.4M
3. Hangover - $27.3M
4. Imagine - $13.0M
5. Museum - $9.0M

At least SOMEONE is high on Pelham.

im going with

1.The Hangover $29 Mill
2. Up $27 Mill
3.Taking Of Pelham 123 $26 Mill
4.Imagine That 10.5 Mill
5.Land Of The Lost 7 Mill

The Hangover increased on Wednesday. Its going to have a huge weekend and $200 million is looking possible now.

Huge thursday for Up, its gaining on Finding Nemo, and was only down 16.9% from last Thursday.

The Hangover is looking at hitting $100 million in ten days.

Will be interesting now to see how the Friday bumps treat Up and The Hangover.

I think that with the Thursday bump, and a favorable Friday bump, Up will win the weekend, so it's wait and see for now.

Plus Up gets the Proposal sneaks $$

Mase's numbers:

Final Weekend Box Office (see note below):
THE HANGOVER-$10.2M Fri/$32M 3-day,
Pixar's UP-$8.3M Fri/$28.5M 3-day,
PELHAM 123-$9M Fri/$26M 3-day
& well down the Top 10 Eddie Murphy's IMAGINE THAT-$1.9M Fri/$6M 3-day!

If that holds, I really hope I don't have Imagine That left on any slates...

Ouch. I thought Imagine That would do better than $6M OW....

What a hold for The Hangover if it does get $32 mil

Great Scott. Poor Eddie. I really thought this one looked good. Reviews have been favorable, more so than most of his recent crap. Perhaps he has officially entered has-been-hood as an actor.

Now I'm going to have to fight to win those three leagues... Hopefully My Sister's Keeper bombs worse...

Wow, W was kind of wrong on something! Great Scott indeed! Those numbers bear out pretty much exactly what I expected from the top 3. I expected up to break 30 million as well, but that's what I thought we'd get from the order. And Pelham was slightly higher than my prediction, but still third place.

It's looking better and better by the day for my prediction of 'The Hangover' joining 200 million dollar comedy club.

If the estimates hold 'The Hangover' will be at 106 mil after it's second weekend, the estimated 32 million is a sub-30% drop on it's second weekend. It's holding right now better than UP was, a better first mid-week total and a smaller 2nd weekend drop.. But don't worry the guys at Pixar aren't distraught, they are looking at (pat on my back again for calling it) one of the few animated features that will reach 300 million!

UP will stand around 185 million after it's 3rd weekend with a sub-40% drop. I see UP leap frogging Taking of Pelham for the No.2 slot.

Awesome weekend as Hangover and Up both will make over $30 million (even if Steve Mason says Up will miss out, it won't). The Hangover getting $32-35 million (from BOG) is insane. It will hit $200 million now. Up having a better third weekend than Finding Nemo puts it on course for $300 million. Pelham 123 did OK, if not a little under expectations at $24 million.

EDIT: Up looks to have one of the Top 10 3rd weekends of all time.

I actually kind of expected Imagine That to bomb. Eddie is in a slump he needs to pick it up.

Damn, I picked Imagine That in one league I think... MISTAKE!

I thought Pelham would do better, but it could still do Face/Off numbers and hit $100M (probably not thought).

geezer9687 wrote:Wow, W was kind of wrong on something!

Yep, kind of. In my defense, I did take it off of all but some of the April-June leagues where the only other choice was really My Sister's Keeper, which may not even fare this well. I also said its stock was falling in this week's Bonanza...