The Oscar Prediction Thread

[J.I.]

Yeah, we did this a little while ago, but now we have more info, more buzz, more RT scores, and more time has passed, so lets do it again, and this time with all the major catagories.

Best Picture:
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
The Dark Knight

Best Actor:
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Sean Penn, Milk
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Brad Pitt, The Curoius Case of Benjamin Button
Richard jenkins, The Visitor

Best Actress:
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Cate Blanchett, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Melissa Leo, Frozen River

Best Supporting Actor:
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Michael Sheen, Frost/Nixon
Josh Brolin, Milk
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actress:
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Kathy Bates, Revolutionary Road
Rosemary DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Amy Adams, Doubt

Best Director:
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Gus Van Sant, Milk
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon

Your thoughts?

[Shrykespeare]

I like almost all of them, but I am STILL not sold on Benjamin Button as an Oscar darling. Don't know why, and history may prove me wrong.
Time will tell.

Nowhere do you mention Gran Torino... you think it'll be shut out?

[W]

Nowhere do you mention Gran Torino... you think it'll be shut out?

We'll know about Gran Torino next week. It'll either be very good or very bad.

If they're smart, they'll let TDK get a ton of nominations so that "normal" people watch. The one thing I care about the mst Oscar-wise is that Richard Jenkins doesn't get forgotten.

[Buscemi]

Best Picture
Gran Torino
Milk
Revolutionary Road
Wall-E
The Wrestler

Best Actor
Leonard DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire
Sean Penn, Milk
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married (though I really don't think she's that deserving)
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt or Mamma Mia!
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin, Milk
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road
Michael Sheen, Frost/Nixon

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Doubt
Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Sophie Okenedo, The Secret Life Of Bees (this was a great performance, please check it out)
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Evan Rachel Wood, The Wrestler

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Andrew Stanton, Wall-E
Gus Van Sant, Milk

Best Original Screenplay
Changeling
Gran Torino
Milk
Wall-E
The Wrestler

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

[lillylovelost]

I like almost all of them, but I am STILL not sold on Benjamin Button as an Oscar darling. Don't know why, and history may prove me wrong.
Time will tell.

I think at the least, it'll be nominated for the actors and the screenplay. The screenplay is well written and takes you to another place.

[transformers2]

Best Picture
The Wrestler
Gran Torino
Milk
Revolutionary Road
Frost/Nixon

Best Actor
Sean Penn Milk
Frank Lagella Frost/Nixon
Mickey Rourke The Wrestler
Dev Patel Slumdog Millionare
Richard Jenkins The Vistor

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway Rachel Getting Married
Kate Winslet Revolutionary Road
Angelina Jolie Changeling
Meryl Streep Doubt
Sally Hawkins Happy Go Lucky

Best Supporting Actor
Philip Seymour Hoffman Doubt
Josh Brolin Milk
Heath Ledger The Dark Knight
Michael Sheen Frost/Nixon
Robert Downey Jr. Tropic Thunder

Best Supporting Actress
Evan Rachel Wood The Wrestler
Amy Adams Doubt
Marrisa Tomei The Wrestler
Penlope Cruz Vicky Christina Barcelona
Rosemarie Dewitt Rachel Getting Married

Best Director
Clint Eastwood Gran Torino
Darren Aronofsky The Wrestler
Gus Van Sant Milk
Ron Howard Frost/Nixon
Danny Boyle Slumdog Millionare

[numbersix_99]

Best Film
The Dark Knight
Slumdog Millionaire
Revolutionary Road
Doubt
Frost/Nixon

Best Director
David Fincher for Benjamin Button
Darren Aronofsky for The Wrestler
Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire
Gus Van Sant for Milk
Clint Eastwood for Gran Torino

Best Actor
Clint Eastwood for Gran Torino
Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler
Sean Penn for Milk
Frank Langella for Frost/Nixon
Leonard di Caprio for Revolutionary Road

Best Actress
Meryl Streep for Doubt
Anne Hathaway for Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins for Happy-Go-Lucky
Kate Winslet for Revolutionary Road
Angelina Jolie for The Changeling

Best Supporting Actor
Michael Sheen for Frost/Nixon
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Doubt (he may be for Lead Actor, but if they producers are smart they'll put him down as support)
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Josh Brolin, Milk
?

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams for Doubt
Viola Davis for Doubt
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
?

Best Original Screenplay
Burn After Reading
Gran Torino
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
The Wrestler
Milk

Best Adapted Screenplay
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
Doubt
Slumdog Millionaire
Benjamin Button

[JackO]

It's real early but here is what I think the top contenders are (in random order, front runner in bold)

BEST PICTURE

Slumdog Millionaire
Milk
Doubt
Ben Button
The Dark Knight

BEST ACTOR

Sean Penn
Frank Langlella
Clint Eastwood
Mickey Rourke
Leonardo DiCaprio

BEST ACTRESS

Meryl Streep
Anne Hathaway
Kate Winslet (Road)
Kristin Scott Thomas
Sally Hawkins

BEST DIRECTOR

David Fincher
Steven Soderbergh
Christopher Nolan
Gus Van Sant
Danny Boyle

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Viola Davis
Penelope Cruz (Vicky)
Taraji Henson
Marisa Tomei
Rosemarie Dewitt

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Heath Ledger
Dev Patel
Josh Brolin
Michael Shannon
Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess)

[Buscemi]

Am I really the only person who didn't understand what made Penelope Cruz so good in Vicky Cristina Barcelona? I mean, she only appears in the second half and she basically played Penelope Cruz the whole time. Sure she won something from the National Board of Review but they've always been nice to Woody Allen.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Am I really the only person who didn't understand what made Penelope Cruz so good in Vicky Cristina Barcelona? I mean, she only appears in the second half and she basically played Penelope Cruz the whole time. Sure she won something from the National Board of Review but they've always been nice to Woody Allen.

I think it's because the Supporting Actress field is weak, maybe? I mean, I thought she was good in the movie but I def didn't expect any sort of Oscar buzz.


I've read some reviews on Doubt and I'm thinking it'll get shut out this year, maybe get an Adapted Screenplay nod but that's it.

I also am not convinced on Benjamin Button, it'll def be a love it or hate it movie.

[Buscemi]

I did mention Sophie Okenedo in The Secret Life Of Bees for a nomination. If anyone (outside of myself) saw it, you'd see how good she was.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Best Picture:

Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Knight
Revolutionary Road
Frost/Nixon


Best Director:

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino


Best Actor:

Sean Penn, Milk
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Will Smith, Seven Pounds
Brad Pitt, Benjamin Button

Best Actress:

Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Cate Blanchet, Benjamin Button
Melissa Leo, Frozen River


Best Supporting Actor:

Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Josh Brolin, Milk
John Malkovich, Changeling
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon

Best Supporting Actress:

Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, Benjamin Button
Rosamarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Amy Adams, Doubt

Best Original Screenplay:

Rachel Getting Married
The Dark Knight
Milk
Gran Torino
Seven Pounds

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Slumdog Millionaire
Frost/Nixon
Doubt
Revolutionary Road
Benjamin Button

[BanksIsDaFuture]

I did mention Sophie Okenedo in The Secret Life Of Bees for a nomination. If anyone (outside of myself) saw it, you'd see how good she was.

I did see it and it wouldn't be far-fetched to see her get one. I had trouble coming up with five convincing nominees myself.

I do think the movie as a whole will get overlooked, but she's def somewhere in the race.

[IPKI$$]

Personally, I don't think this year's race has any frontrunners really. I mean, Frost/Nixon maybe, as of right now anyway. But besides that, I think we're gonna be surprised once the nominations come out.

Instead of worrying about this why don't we just have our own oscar-type awards and see what the fantaverse as a whole thought was the best of the best this year in movies? We have enough polls already, why not?

[IPKI$$]

And as for Penelope Cruz in VCB, Buscemi, I see what you're saying, but personally the reason I love her performance so much is (besides Volver, notably) she really has never been that great. She's pretty, yeah. But her English is terrible and she's indicating and very self aware, but as an actor myself, you can definitely see by watching her in VCB that she DOES have talent, she just doesn't seem to use it all that much. Sort of the opposite of Maggie Gylenhaal in TDK this year, who is a good example of a great actress turning in just what was required her and nothing extra special what so ever.

[silversurfer19]

I'm guessing you have never seen Jamon, Jamon, Live Flesh, Open Your Eyes or All About My Mother. All of those movies showcase Cruz's acting talent. She just hasn't picked good Hollywood movies generally, which has slanted opinion of her acting credentials.

[IPKI$$]

No, I've never seen any of those. I should check them out, because I love her, personally, but Bandidas? Really? You too, Salma Hayek! And, for what it's worth, Steve Zahn! I mean, come on! Bandidas?

[Buscemi]

I liked Bandidas but probably because I'm a sucker for Luc Besson films. Plus it didn't deserve the dumping that it got by Fox.

[IPKI$$]

Nothing wrong with a little Luc Besson, but he is after all only human. Which explains why he would make a film where Steve Zahn beds not only one but two incredibly sexy latina women at the same time...okay maybe Bandidas was pretty awesome.

[silversurfer19]

Open Your Eyes is the original (and highly superior) version of Vanilla Sky, while Jamon, Jamon and All About My Mother are two of my personal favourites.

Bandidas was very poor and full of cliches.

[BanksIsDaFuture]

Best Picture:

Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Knight
Revolutionary Road
Frost/Nixon


Best Director:

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino


Best Actor:

Sean Penn, Milk
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Will Smith, Seven Pounds
Brad Pitt, Benjamin Button

Best Actress:

Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Cate Blanchet, Benjamin Button
Melissa Leo, Frozen River


Best Supporting Actor:

Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Josh Brolin, Milk
John Malkovich, Changeling
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon

Best Supporting Actress:

Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, Benjamin Button
Rosamarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Amy Adams, Doubt

Best Original Screenplay:

Rachel Getting Married
The Dark Knight
Milk
Gran Torino
Seven Pounds

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Slumdog Millionaire
Frost/Nixon
Doubt
Revolutionary Road
Benjamin Button

Damn, I went 5 for 8 back in December.

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