Ugly Truth and G Force

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Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by nickb1016 on Tue Jul 21, 2009 11:36 pm

Ok so nobody has started it yet so I will...any tracking for this weekends new releases?


G Force is pretty much set for the same audience that showed up for Beverly Hills Chihuahua. The added 3D charge should put it over 30million, even though I really can't understand why.

The real questions are the Ugly Truth and Orphan

I believe the early tracking had the Ugly Truth's in the high teens. But they having been doing alot of advertising, and this could be a nice middle ground date movie. Raunchy enough for guys who have already seen the Hangover 5 times and romantic enough to please women who want to see the Proposal. Hiegl has proven that she might be a draw with 27 Dresses, but she is not Sandra Bullock so a 27-29 million ould happen if it breaks out.


Orphan doesnt seem like a big factor this weekend, but there has not been a hit scary movie since the Haunting in Connecticut, it doesnt look that strong but creepy kids a solid draw in scary movies. The creepy kid combined with the lack of similair movies in theaters right now could lead to a solid opening. This might be n uneventful mid teens opening or it could end up a suprise like the Strangers

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by nickb1016 on Tue Jul 21, 2009 11:37 pm

Also any early tracking for Funny People or GI Joe?

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Wed Jul 22, 2009 3:21 am

Note: MTC was about 4 million too high for HPOT6, but all things considered, was really close. RS wasn't that bad either, a bit under 10 million too low.

GFORCE: High 20's
UGLY: Low 20's
ORPHAN: Mid Teens

Future:
GI JOE: Mid 30's (note their survey numbers don't match at all with other services)
JULIE & JULIA: Almost Mid 20's
FUNNY PEOPLE: Almost Mid 30's
PERFECT GETAWAY: Mid Single Digits
ALIENS: Low Double Digits (sub teens)
G-Force marketing is everywhere. I see it hitting $100 million, so a $33-36 million OW should happen.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by thswrestler160 on Wed Jul 22, 2009 4:23 am

yeah I can see G force gettn close to 100 but it wont beat HP this weekend. I fully expect perfect getaway to be alot higher I have seem adds for it all over the place lately and alot for GI Joe too. I dont see it opening less than 45 ceiling is around 60

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by geezer9687 on Wed Jul 22, 2009 4:46 am

A perfect Getaway looks like the same movie we have seen over and over and over again... I can't see it making good numbers, no matter how hard they push it.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Wed Jul 22, 2009 5:41 am

All those numbers look good. My predicts:

1. HP6 - $40-something
2. G-Force - $28
3. The Ugly Truth - $18
4. Orphan - $13
5. Ice Age 3 - $9
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by Buscemi on Wed Jul 22, 2009 5:58 am

I'd put Aliens In The Attic and A Perfect Getaway in the single digits. Meanwhile, G.I. Joe will probably had a $30 million opening with $40 million being the ceiling. However, I expect its legs to be very short.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by transformers2 on Wed Jul 22, 2009 7:22 pm

Aliens In The Attic will most likely tank. I think its the worst trailer i have seen in a long time.

Unsure about Orphan. The Ugly Truth should do pretty well and G-Force do decent bussiness no matter how stupid the premise is.

My predictions
1.HP $41 Mill
2.G-Force- $27 Mill
3.The Ugly Truth- $19 Mill
4.Ice Age $13 Mill
5.Orphan $12 Mill
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by nickb1016 on Thu Jul 23, 2009 12:49 am

The Ugly Truth may be in trouble...it is currently sitting at a nasty 6% fresh on RT after 16 reviews with an average rating of 2.9 out of 10. A movie like this is one that really could have broken out with solid reviews. But with reviews this bad I don't see it opening over 20million.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Thu Jul 23, 2009 1:20 am

Holy crap! Look at the Tuesday numbers! Shocked Shocked Shocked

Harry Potter is now back ahead of OOTP per day after falling 4% on Tuesday instead of 12% like OOTP. But that wasn't the insane part.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Fri Jul 24, 2009 1:03 am

G-Force is in over 3,600 theaters, nice.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by transformers2 on Fri Jul 24, 2009 7:07 pm

A lot of theaters for G-Force it might do more than orginally expected.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by Donte77 on Fri Jul 24, 2009 8:50 pm

I am expecting 80-100+ mil for G-Force. When I saw Up, they played the trailer for it. The entire audience was cracking up and excited about it (especially the kids) so I have put it on a few slates. I expect BHC type numbers.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by Buscemi on Sat Jul 25, 2009 7:21 am

Every time I saw a G-Force trailer, there was no reaction other than silence. But then again, I hardly saw reaction during any Hangover trailer other than silence and look how that did.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by thswrestler160 on Sat Jul 25, 2009 11:35 am

Well shit potter fans. HP falls but it should have a rediculously small drop next week when it opens in IMAX

DHD estimates
1 G force 11/33
2 Harry Potter 9.5/30
3 Ugly Truth 10/27
4 Orphan 5/13

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:12 am

Potter isn't getting over $300 million anymore unless the studio pushes it. Very good for G-Force and Ugly Truth.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by Buscemi on Sun Jul 26, 2009 3:25 am

But didn't Harry Potter just hit $200 million in its 10th day of release? Of the eleven previous films to hit $200 million in 10 days or less, only one failed to hit $300 million. So it should definitely hit $300 million before the end of its run.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Sun Jul 26, 2009 3:33 am

The last HP made $292 million and this one is making less per day than that one. It may have started out ahead but its not even $8 million ahead of it and losing ground every day.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by thswrestler160 on Sun Jul 26, 2009 3:37 am

Yea and the one that didn't was HP4. Actually out of the top 25 10day openings the only movie that wasnt a harry potter not to hit 300 was matrix reloaded. HP should add another 25 durring the week which will put it at around 245 and then with the IMAX release right after it will only drop maybe 20-30 percent pulling in another 25 or so and its totall after 2 and a half weeks will be 270ish maybe higher. It could limp its way to 300. And the reason it's loosing ground is the other one opened in IMAX the gap will go back up on wed.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by mfrendo on Sun Jul 26, 2009 3:40 am

Looks like Ugly Truth will do better than predicted...which is good because I have it on at least one slate (now I just hope it was a BO slate...).
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:55 pm

Great for Ugly Truth and it looks like hangover will be passing $250 million before next weekend, wow. G-Force shoud be heading to at least $90 million.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by Buscemi on Sun Jul 26, 2009 11:03 pm

In The Loop got over $25,000 per theatre. IFC has been having some good karma lately (such as changing video distributors and the fact that their films are actually getting released).

Meanwhile, 500 Days Of Summer and The Hurt Locker are still doing nicely in limited release. I imagine both films will be going wide in the next two weeks.

Next week will be a PTA dogfight between Adam (a Wednesday opener), Thirst and The Cove. In The Loop will be expanding and 500 Days Of Summer and The Hurt Locker will be getting wide releases.

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by Donte77 on Mon Jul 27, 2009 10:36 pm

Damn, I have been stuck in Yellow Zone limbo. Better than the Red Zone of death though.
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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by thswrestler160 on Fri Jul 31, 2009 12:43 am

well good news for potter fans for the first time since its opening HPHBP has made more than its predicessor with 4.5 on wed. thanks to its IMAX release. and now that it has it set a new record opening in 4450 theaters. and it should have a better hold this weekend than everyone keeps saying (except me).

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Re: Ugly Truth and G Force

Post by J.I. on Fri Jul 31, 2009 12:59 am

Yeah that Wednesday will really help out HP. It gained about $600,000 on OOTP. It really needs to have a better third weekend than HP5 in terms of gross and not just hold better, which will be hard to do. G-Force is going to hit $50 million on Thursday probably, insane. And Ugly Truth is already $5 million ahead of HJNTIY after only 6 days.
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