Bruno Tracking

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Bruno Tracking

Post by RonBurgundy on Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:04 pm

Ok, the ultimate question is, with all the hype and staged advertising, how much BO?

Borat made around $125M, which is pretty good, i really have no idea but im thinking Bruno can get about $150M.

What do you think?
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Buscemi on Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:11 pm

I think Bruno will make less than Borat. The character just doesn't have the same appeal as Borat. Also, I don't expect the acclaim and word of mouth to be as good due to the film's content.

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by transformers2 on Mon Jul 06, 2009 5:49 pm

I Think Bruno Can do 130-140. The advertising has been through the roof and the trailer is getting a great reaction.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Mon Jul 06, 2009 8:09 pm

I still think it might be too gay for some people, but it's being advertised like crazy. I'd say $100-$120M.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by nickb1016 on Mon Jul 06, 2009 10:07 pm

I think it is going to have a monster opening weekend but awful legs. But has anyone seen the theater counts? Only 2,700 for Bruno and 1,900 for Beth Cooper? Those seem low.

I think Bruno is capable of 50 million opening weekend. The ads have been great, the trailers are showing a lot of different material instead of just the same jokes again and again. I think that is one of the key factors that allowed The Hangover to breakout. This should play out like a sequel. Im a little unsure of calling for 50 million out of only 2,700 theaters but Borat made 26.7 from only 800. I think this has a perfect storm of no competition, great marketing, and media controversy to really suprise this weekend.


Beth Cooper can only hope for Nick and Nore numbers at this point with a venue count of only 1,900.


It will also be intersesting to see how the holdovers preform this weekend. Will Ice Age and Public Enemies pull of Armageddon style holds? I say yes. Will Transformers and My Sisters Keeper level off after huge drops? A little bit. The Proposal should have a great hold exspecialy after its great hold last weekend, as it looks to be the only film with no direct competiton until the Ugly Truth. And how will the Hangover do against Bruno? I think ok

1. Bruno 53.4
2. Ice Age 26.8 (-37%)
3. T2 22.1 (-48%)
4. Public 17.0 (-35%)
5. Beth C 10.5
6. Prop 9.3 (-27%)
7. Hang 6.8 (-35%)
8. Up 4.5 (-32%)
9. Sister 3.5 (-34%)
10. Museam 1.5 (-31%)


I was way to high last weekend and I probably am I again but I cant help it haha

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by brockman81 on Tue Jul 07, 2009 12:09 am

10.5 for Beth Cooper??? I can't see that...speaking of seeing...I haven't seen one trailer for it...where is the marketing?
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Tue Jul 07, 2009 1:16 am

Yeah, ILYBC has very little marketing. I've only seen a handful of TV spots, nothing compared to Bruno. Plus USA has been showing Borat and of course pushing Bruno hard as hell during that. I don't think $50M is possible though, I'd put it's ceiling at $35-$40.

I'm thinking Bruno will be 40/120 and Beth Cooper will be 9/22.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Buscemi on Tue Jul 07, 2009 3:28 am

I Love You, Beth Cooper won't even hit $5 million. The studio is basically dumping this film and the trailers are just awful.

Also, is it me or does the lead actor look like he's at least 30?

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by nickb1016 on Tue Jul 07, 2009 5:16 am

thats weird...i dont watch a lot of tv but i assumed it was being given a decent push. Either way Beth Cooper is going to be a non factor this weekend or any other weekend

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Scripps on Tue Jul 07, 2009 6:02 am

Nobody posted it yet so I thought I would. Huge difference between MTC's and RS' numbers.

RS:

BRUNO: Mid 40's

BETH COOPER: Mid Single Digits



Future:

GFORCE: Low 30's

UGLY TRUTH: Almost High Teens

POTTER: Mid 140's

ORPHAN: Almost low teens

ALIENS IN THE ATTIC: Low Double Digit Millions




MTC:

Bruno 27
Beth Cooper 4

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BarcaRulz on Tue Jul 07, 2009 6:24 am

If we have learned ANYTHING from tracking this year, it is that it is completely useless.

Personally i think there is alot of hype for Bruno. The only movie that has a similar audience is The Hangover and that's already run most of it's course.

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Tue Jul 07, 2009 6:40 am

Low 30s for G-Force? Bullshit. Not on Harry Potter's 2nd weekend.

And yeah Busc, the guy from Beth Cooper looks old as fuck. I think he's only 29 in real life, but he looks at least 35. What a stupid casting decision, considering how many early 20 White guys they could've got for the role. Shit, if you're gonna go with an unknown, at least have him look the part.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by nickb1016 on Tue Jul 07, 2009 7:21 am

I dont really by much of that tracking...

G Force could be right given that Beverly Hill Chihuahua saw similair numbers...why i have no idea.

The Ugly Truth will have no problem breaking 20 mill.

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Buscemi on Tue Jul 07, 2009 7:24 am

I'm going to say that The Ugly Truth do well now. Though the plot looks way too much like a bad Dane Cook/insert beautiful but not very talented actress here vehicle, Heigl and Butler have far more appeal and charisma in their pinkies than Dane Cook has in his whole body.

And Orphan should do average numbers. Maybe more if Warner Bros. decides to play the DiCaprio aspect on it (yes boys and girls, Leonardo DiCaprio produced Orphan).

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Tue Jul 07, 2009 7:57 am

Any of guys play the BOM BO Derby?
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by transformers2 on Tue Jul 07, 2009 7:46 pm

i do indeed Banks.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Wed Jul 08, 2009 4:08 am

Cool. I just discovered it. Who knew BOM had more than just stats? Ive been playing the Movie Hangman all day.

The rest of you guys should check it out.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by mfrendo on Wed Jul 08, 2009 10:28 am

i did play movie hangman for quite a while about a year ago. addicting as fuck. now that you remind me, i may go back to it...
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Shrykespeare on Wed Jul 08, 2009 11:11 am

I'm currently ranked #34 on the all time list.

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Wed Jul 08, 2009 5:33 pm

mfrendo wrote:i did play movie hangman for quite a while about a year ago. addicting as fuck. now that you remind me, i may go back to it...

Sorry for making you relapse Laughing

Shryke, how long have you been playing to get that high?
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by transformers2 on Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:50 am

i havent played Movie Hangman should check it out.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Shrykespeare on Thu Jul 09, 2009 4:23 am

BanksIsDaFuture wrote:

Shryke, how long have you been playing to get that high?

Ever since I joined Fantasy Moguls... nearly two and a half years now. I used to play it every day at work on my lunch break, until the Fascist regime clamped down on Internet usage.

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by transformers2 on Thu Jul 09, 2009 7:09 am

lol at Fascist regime

Anyway i tried Movie Hangman and its was great. Thanks guys for telling me about it.
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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by Buscemi on Thu Jul 09, 2009 7:48 am

I was #78 on the late 2003 list (as silentbob2440) but stopped playing due to the new list being created and because people would hack their way into getting the high score and high averages.

Now under a new name (100% Death Proof), I currently have 200,000 points and an average over 400 points per game.

Edit: currently in 767th with 300,920 points and a 456 average.

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Re: Bruno Tracking

Post by transformers2 on Fri Jul 10, 2009 2:54 am

i suck at movie hangman i was playing for a little bit earlier but it is still fun
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Re: Bruno Tracking

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