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Christmas Movies Predictions

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Post by Buscemi Tue Dec 09, 2008 1:11 am

BanksIsDaFuture wrote:
Buscemi wrote:I see Hotel For Dogs being a non-factor. The film has no stars (unless you count Emma Roberts, whose last US release flopped) and Inkheart opens the same day, which has several stars.

And Fox lately (at least since 2003) has had a family film do well in December (Cheaper By The Dozen, Fat Albert, Cheaper By The Dozen 2, Night At The Museum, Alvin and The Chipmunks). Lately, the trailer has been appearing with some major Thanksgiving releases and should appeal to couples and families (similar to this summer's Wall-E but not as big).

True. But look at BHC. No stars, lots of dogs, almost $100 million in the dead of October.

I don't think Hotel For Dogs will be a hit of any kind, but I do think it'll cut into Marley's legs come January.

I still have no idea how big Marley will be, I think it's already getting lost in the shuffle. Bedtime Stories will steal it's kid/family audience, and there's a lot of other choices for couples (Yes Man/Despereaux/Bedtime on the comedic side and Seven Pounds/Benjamin Button/Spirit/DTESS on the more action-serious side)

Actually, Beverly Hills Chihuahua had Drew Barrymore. Though it wasn't mentioned in the ads, she voiced the lead character.
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Post by silversurfer19 Tue Dec 09, 2008 1:16 am

BanksIsDaFuture wrote:True. But look at BHC. No stars, lots of dogs, almost $100 million in the dead of October.

Exactly, in the dead of October. Now there is too much competition.
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Post by J.I. Tue Dec 09, 2008 3:02 am

Oh I didn't know Marley and Me was Fox. Its hitting the $100 million mark. I will not get tricked up by this three years in a row.

And Nickelodeon movies usually make $70-90 million. Their only movie since 2003 to make under that range was Yours, Mine, and Ours.
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Post by delfinasu Fri Dec 12, 2008 1:55 am

My predictions:
Movie titlemin MAX Most likely
Delgo 10 18 13
The Day the Earth Stood Still147 168 155
The Reader18 26 20
What Doesn't Kill You4 11 6
Doubt 15 25 18
Nothing Like the Holidays 18 26 21
The Wrestler23 32 26
The Tale of Despereaux 67 80 72
Brothers Bloom6 13 8
Yes Man 93 109 100
Nothing but the Truth 6 14 8
Seven Pounds 85 122 92
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button65 80 70
Bedtime Stories 130 160 150
Will Eisner's The Spirit 43 53 46
Waltz with Bashir 6 13 8
Valkyrie70 88 80
Marley and Me 80 100 90
Revolutionary Road 40 55 47
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Post by delfinasu Fri Dec 12, 2008 2:01 am

P.S.: I hope that Bedtime Stories will surpass even the 200 mark and maybe The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Doubt and Revolutionary Road, maybe even The Wrestler, will do even better. They just were nom'ed at Golden Globe... The American public will decide... I hope that the movie-goers will choose these instead of The Day the Earth Stood Still...
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Post by Donte77 Fri Dec 12, 2008 2:06 am

delfinasu wrote:P.S.: I hope that Bedtime Stories will surpass even the 200 mark and maybe The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Doubt and Revolutionary Road, maybe even The Wrestler, will do even better. They just were nom'ed at Golden Globe... The American public will decide... I hope that the movie-goers will choose these instead of The Day the Earth Stood Still...

If you are hoping that the general american public will have taste I wouldn't hold your breath. Very Happy
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Post by delfinasu Fri Dec 12, 2008 2:59 am

Donte77, you're right... but miracles can happen Wink Razz Hope dies the last one, you know? Smile
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