The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

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How will this weekend play out

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Total Votes : 81

Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by W on Thu May 21, 2009 6:00 am

Shrykespeare wrote:From Joe's Box Office:
8.OBSESSION: $3.4m : -25%

Damn, Obsession bombed. I never even knew it was coming out. :)

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Keyser Soze on Thu May 21, 2009 6:15 pm

Review is in for Terminator from our local newspaper. 2/5. Man, this is not looking good at this point.
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Spectre on Thu May 21, 2009 10:20 pm

Yep, I jumped off the T4 bandwagon on all slates... It feels way too much like Wolverine for my tastes.
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by aquamann2001 on Thu May 21, 2009 10:23 pm

DeadlineHollywooddaily posted that terminator made 3 million from midnight showings.

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by undeadmonkey on Thu May 21, 2009 10:31 pm

Spectre wrote:Yep, I jumped off the T4 bandwagon on all slates... It feels way too much like Wolverine for my tastes.

I kept T4 on the slates that i had, although i didnt have it on a lot of slates, i think its still a better pick than NatM. Even if NatM takes the weekend it'll have bigger drops, it has Up next week, then Land of the Lost the week after, Then Imagine That the week after that. Although UP will be its biggest competitor, I think it'll still lose some business to the other two too.


aquamann2001 wrote:DeadlineHollywooddaily posted that terminator made 3 million from midnight showings.

That's not too bad, Star Treks midnights were at 4M.
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by JackO on Thu May 21, 2009 10:39 pm

And here we go!
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by J.I. on Fri May 22, 2009 2:24 am

Dance Flick has the best reviews of any movie coming out this weekend. Shocked
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by A_Roode on Fri May 22, 2009 3:10 am

J.I. wrote:Dance Flick has the best reviews of any movie coming out this weekend. Shocked

RUN! SAVE YOURSELVES! THE END IS NEAR! THE SKY IS BURNING!
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by geezer9687 on Fri May 22, 2009 4:37 am

I don't get the hate for Terminator at all. I thought it was great.

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Buscemi on Fri May 22, 2009 5:49 am

Terminator was average. The idea is there but it just doesn't to make a successful transition to the screen. I would have preferred it had they made it the final film and simply focused on John and Kyle before Kyle went to 1984.

Also, the auditorium (at a 3:50 pm show) was about 40% full.

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by JackO on Fri May 22, 2009 5:51 am

um yeah, after seeing T4 today, I am even more happy I chose NATM 2 on nearly every slate. Cool
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by undeadmonkey on Fri May 22, 2009 11:16 am

geezer9687 wrote:I don't get the hate for Terminator at all. I thought it was great.


good to hear, how refreshing, but even with all the negativity going around, i cant wait to see it.
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by undeadmonkey on Fri May 22, 2009 8:37 pm

J.I. wrote:Dance Flick has the best reviews of any movie coming out this weekend. Shocked

I just checked RT. I dont know what it was at yesterday, but it's the lowest of the three opening wide this weekend right now, so we can all relax, false alarm
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Keyser Soze on Fri May 22, 2009 8:39 pm

J.I. wrote:Dance Flick has the best reviews of any movie coming out this weekend. Shocked

It got the worst reveiw of any of the three in the Post-Gazette for this weekend. NATM 2.5 Terminator 2 Dance Flick 1.5. These are out of 5
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Nycguy84 on Fri May 22, 2009 8:42 pm

Terminator 13.3 million on its Thursday opening day.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/content_display/news/e3i9659c5aa3ebf2806bfb75b9ac7215824

That might be a good thing as the article states, since it still leaves breathing space for a very big Friday & helps stretch out its 5 day weekend.

We're at 16.3 million prior to the 4 day weekend. 100 million for the 5 day weekend seems out of reach considering the poor critical reaction. But a $70-75 million haul for the 4 day can still happen looking at a 90 million 5 day weekend.
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by JackO on Fri May 22, 2009 10:37 pm

As a comparison Indy 4 had a Pirates: AWE had 13M, Indy 4 had 25M, and Lost World got 2M,
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by nickb1016 on Fri May 22, 2009 11:44 pm

thats not right...potc made 13 million from showings starting at 7pm. It is not a good comparison...a correct one is the one with indiana jones. And indiana jones was a much more family oriented film and is also a poor comparison as to how Terminator will play out.

Teens are still in school so its friday should still see about 18 million, but that wont get it anywhere near a 100million 5 day. Also its already being reported at boxoffice.com that NATM2 has already pulled ahead of salvation in online ticket sales by about 11%, it is going to win the weekend

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by brockman81 on Sat May 23, 2009 2:00 am

NATM's imdb isn't looking great right now (sub 6), whereas Term. is at 8.0 w/ over 4k votes. (I'm trying to think on the bright side for all of us w/ Term. on our slates! Very Happy )

It will be interesting to see how the PTA shakes out between the 2 since NATM is playing in 616 more theaters.

Can't wait for the weekend actuals!
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by geezer9687 on Sat May 23, 2009 2:07 am

Terminator should at least win the PTA

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by thswrestler160 on Sat May 23, 2009 7:31 am

i think terminator still has a good shot at winning the weekend. natm opened in my theater this weekend which is never a great sign (unless its christmas) and today it did WAY less than we were expecting. all day it probably only did 450 people. on a side not dance flick did respectable bringing in about 90 people most of which were early teens which really shouldnt be seeing this movie. if you'ev seen it you know which part i'm talking about.

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Buscemi on Sat May 23, 2009 10:19 am

Here are Mase's early projections:

Terminator Salvation-$15.5M Fri/$71.3M 5-day
Night At The Museum 2-$14.5M Fri/$64M 4-day
Star Trek-$6.3M Fri/$31M 4-day
Angels and Demons-$6.4M Fri/$28.1M 4-day
Dance Flick-$3.8M Fri/$14M 4-day

Despite these early numbers, I expect Night At The Museum to still be Number One. The reason being that Night At The Museum is a Saturday and Sunday movie rather than a Friday movie. It will jump on Saturday while Terminator will probably drop.

Oh wait, I didn't pay attention to that 5-day marker. Mase seems to agree with me. Minus that first day, he has Terminator doing $57.8 million for the weekend and losing to Night At The Museum.

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by Shrykespeare on Sat May 23, 2009 10:45 am

Glad I didn't take any of them. Up should clean house next week. Drag Me to Hell may even come in at #2 or #3.

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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by JackO on Sat May 23, 2009 11:02 am

If those films want to clean up house, they had better pick up tracking-wise. Wink

Plus, it's only Friday of a 4 day weekend. I think it's a bit early to be playing Taps.

EDIT: I wonder why Finke never released FRI numbers. Question On her blog, there are some irregularities between Fox's lowballing and what rival studios think. Anyways, off to see NATM 2 in Imax.
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by undeadmonkey on Sat May 23, 2009 11:49 pm

BOM friday estimates

1 NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM 2 $15,300,000
2 TERMINATOR SALVATION $14,845,000
3 ANGELS & DEMONS $6,050,000
4 STAR TREK $5,775,000
5 DANCE FLICK $3,900,000
6 WOLVERINE $2,100,000
7 GHOSTS OF GIRLFRIENDS $1,100,000
8 OBSESSED $575,000
9 MONSTERS VS. ALIENS $280,000
10 17 AGAIN $270,000
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Re: The most competitive weekend of the summer...maybe ever

Post by SuperShaan on Sun May 24, 2009 1:20 am

Mase's Updated projections:

TERMINATOR-$14.8M Fri/$71.3M 5-day
NIGHT AT MUSEUM 2-$15.3M Fri/$67M 4-day
STAR TREK-$5.9M Fri/$30M 4-day
ANGELS & DEMONS-$6M Fri/$26M 4-day
DANCE FLICK-$3.9M Fri/$14.5M 4-day
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