Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

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Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by JackO on Mon Apr 27, 2009 5:25 pm

WOLVIE: Mid 90's
Ghosts: Mid 20's
Terra: Sub 5..


NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: Mid 80's (4 day)
TERM: Mid 120's 5 Day (High 80's 3 day)
STAR TREK: High 50's
ANGELS & DEMONS: Low 60's
NEXT DAY AIR: Low Teens

MTC 5/1
-- notfabio, Apr 27, 13:33
Wolfy: 106
Ghosty: 20
Terray: 2


Last edited by JackO on Tue Apr 28, 2009 1:06 am; edited 1 time in total
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by Buscemi on Mon Apr 27, 2009 5:40 pm

Everything looks about right but I think Star Trek will open better than Angels and Demons. Star Trek actually has an advertising campaign (I have yet to see a trailer or TV spot for Angels and Demons).

Also, I think Dance Flick will have a $25-30 million four day opening weekend. Everytime I've seen the trailer, it's gotten a good to great reaction and it's there for the overflows for Terminator. And since Angels and Demons will have a big second weekend drop and Next Day Air will be gone from most theatres, it can finish as high as third on opening weekend.

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by brockman81 on Mon Apr 27, 2009 6:40 pm

I've been back and forth over Dance Flick...part of me thinks it will do well (remembering Meet the Spartans), but part of me thinks audiences are getting sick of these knock off movies. It's a toss up for me...but either way the imdb will be terrible.

Also, I've seen quite a few spots for Angels...but I think it's been on the Sci-fi channel (go ahead with the nerd jokes,LOL)...anyway, the trailer is pretty good for it, as is the trailer for Star Trek, which is also played quite a bit on the Sci-fi channel (go figure!)
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by Donte77 on Mon Apr 27, 2009 8:54 pm

Man Battle for Terra is looking rough now. I had such high hopes for it a month ago.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by Shrykespeare on Mon Apr 27, 2009 9:33 pm

JackO wrote:
NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: Mid 80's (4 day)
TERM: Mid 120's 5 Day (High 80's 3 day)

Wait... I still have T4 coming out on 5/21 and Museum on 5/22... so factoring in the Memorial Day weekend (which is on a Monday), T4 will have a 5-day weekend and Museum a 4-day one.

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Wed Apr 29, 2009 2:15 am

I don't know if Wolverine can do Iron Man numbers its OW, and Ghost will probably play just like Made of Honor.

I don't know Battle for Terra will do, but I personally want to see it. If that matters at all.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by transformers2 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 3:03 am

Dance Flick could go either way. The trailer actually isnt bad i have seen a good number of ad's for it. i dont know with Terminator and Night coming out that weekend who really knows what will happen.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by undeadmonkey on Wed Apr 29, 2009 3:28 am

Wolverine is just starting to look better and better game-wise. I think it can beat Iron Man. I still think Iron Man is a tad over-rated.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by J.I. on Wed Apr 29, 2009 4:58 am

Absolutely insane for Wolverine (where is the hype for this movie?). In fact, absolutely insane for all of the big movies except for ST. I don't see how NatM can do anything close to that. I was expecting about $40 million 3-day.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by geezer9687 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:17 am

The only one I have a real problem with is NATM 2. I don't think people will rush out for it to give it that massive OW, and its legs will be cut off by Up. I have no idea why they picked this release date. They should have let it out the second weekend in June.

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by silversurfer19 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:24 am

I think they should have gone for another Christmas release, it would have fared much better then. Certain movies benefit from Christmas, and the audience this is aimed at is one of them. Just ask the Narnia crowd!

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by JackO on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:30 am

It's tracking pretty strongly for having no audience lol!
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by geezer9687 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:32 am

So was Prince Caspian

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by silversurfer19 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:33 am

Exactly, and as we've seen on numerous occasions so far this year, tracking means nothing.

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by JackO on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:37 am

I guess tracking is only a good indicator of a film if you are actively cheering for, otherwise it means nothing. Par for the course.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by geezer9687 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:39 am

I'd agree with that statement, and we are all guilty of it.

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by BanksIsDaFuture on Wed Apr 29, 2009 2:51 pm

silversurfer19 wrote:I think they should have gone for another Christmas release, it would have fared much better then. Certain movies benefit from Christmas, and the audience this is aimed at is one of them. Just ask the Narnia crowd!

Agreed. While I think NaTM2 will make a fair amount of money, it will suffer from Prince Caspian syndrome and fall way short of the first. And they should've released another trailer, the only one they have is atrocious.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by transformers2 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 5:24 pm

JackO wrote:I guess tracking is only a good indicator of a film if you are actively cheering for, otherwise it means nothing. Par for the course.


Very Well Said. That is a perfect evaluation.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by brockman81 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 6:55 pm

Prince Caspian syndrome


Don't get me started on Prince Caspian!!! I'm still bitter over this movie...I'm a huge fan of the books and whoever adapted this script should never work again (and also be kicked in the nuts)...granted the book isn't the best story in the Chronicles, but I think ol' C.S. was turning in his grave when he saw this movie...awful, just awful.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by undeadmonkey on Wed Apr 29, 2009 10:25 pm

brockman81 wrote:
Prince Caspian syndrome


Don't get me started on Prince Caspian!!! I'm still bitter over this movie...I'm a huge fan of the books and whoever adapted this script should never work again (and also be kicked in the nuts)...granted the book isn't the best story in the Chronicles, but I think ol' C.S. was turning in his grave when he saw this movie...awful, just awful.


I thought it was ok, not great. Look on the bright side, at least we get Voyage of the Dawn Treader. On the flip side though, Fox is making it.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by brockman81 on Wed Apr 29, 2009 10:50 pm

Yeah but Voyage is a much better story than Prince Caspian...if they do it right it's going to be awesome.
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by Shrykespeare on Thu Apr 30, 2009 12:21 am

Agreed. It's a much better STORY. It involves exploration and adventure, not conflict.

And it stars Edmund and Lucy without Peter and Susan, which is good, because the younger two kids have always had more personality. It'll be cool to see the kid from Son of Rambow as their bratty cousin Eustace.

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by brockman81 on Thu Apr 30, 2009 12:27 am

Wasn't Eustace fat though?
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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by Shrykespeare on Thu Apr 30, 2009 12:28 am

At the beginning he was, but he loses a lot of it over the course of the story.

So anyway, how about some actual TRACKING?

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

Post by W on Thu Apr 30, 2009 1:18 am

HSX OWs

Wolverine: 101.4 M
Girlfriends Past: 22.3 M
Terra 3.5 M

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Re: Wolverine and May Tracking (Updated with MTC)

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