Weekend Estimates for December 12th

Very little on the PTA front but here is latest from Mason

STEVE MASON’S EXCLUSIVE EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW - The Day the Earth Stood Still (Fox) - $12.5M, $3,511 PTA, $12.5M cume
2. Four Christmases (Warner Bros) - $4M, $1,130 PTA, $78.7M cume
3. Twilight (Summit) - $2.75M, $754 PTA, $144.84M cume
4. Bolt (Disney) - $1.7M, $543 PTA, $83M cume
5. Quantum of Solace (Sony) - $1.35M, $512 PTA, $154.73M cume
6. Australia (Fox) - $1.3M, $481PTA, $34.89M cume
7. NEW - Nothing Like the Holidays (Overture) - $1.25M, $748 PTA, $1.25M cume
8. Milk (Focus) - $925,000, $2,820 PTA, $5.91M cume
9. Transporter 3 (Lionsgate) - $850,000, $335 PTA, $27.87M cume
10. Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $800,000, $289 PTA, $167.55M cume
11. Role Models (Universal) - $670,000, $506 PTA, $63.25M
12. Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight) - $650,000, $3,846 PTA, $6.52M cume
*NEW - Delgo (Freestyle) - $130,000, $60 PTA, $130,000 cume

STEVE MASON’S EXCLUSIVE EARLY 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW - The Day the Earth Stood Still (Fox) - $33.75M, $9,480 PTA, $33.75M cume
2. Four Christmases (Warner Bros) - $12.5M, $3,531 PTA, $87.2M cume
3. Twilight (Summit) - $7.95M, $2,179 PTA, $150M cume
4. Bolt (Disney) - $7.1M, $2,266 PTA, $88.48M cume
5. Australia (Fox) - $4.22M, $1,563 PTA, $37.82M cume
6. Quantum of Solace (Sony) - $4.18M, $1,588 PTA, $157.56M cume
7. NEW - Nothing Like the Holidays (Overture) - $3.5M, $2,095 PTA, $3.5M cume
8. Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $3.4M, $1,228 PTA, $170.15M cume
9. Milk (Focus) - $3.37M, $10,293 PTA, $8.36M cume
10. Transporter 3 (Lionsgate) - $2.65M, $1,044 PTA, $29.67M cume
11. Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight) - $2.4M, $14,213 PTA, $8.27M cume
12. Role Models (Universal) - $1.97M, $1,492 PTA, $64.56M cume
*NEW - Delgo (Freestyle) - $400,000, $185 PTA, $400,000 cume

Delgo flopped? Well I guess kids can tell the difference between good and bad quality.

Not too bad an opening for TDTESS. I saw it the other day and i don't expect it to have the best legs, but it should finish with a respectable domestic total.

Slumdog and Milk are still going strong which is great. Does anyone know anything about Frost/Nixon?

Friday numbers for smaller movies are at MovieCityNews. All except Frost/Nixon.

Box Office Mojo's Friday Estimates are up. Friday PTA numbers are like this:
Gran Torino- 12,500
Doubt- 9,333
The Reader- 5,875
Frost/Nixon- 4,256
Slumdog Millionaire- 3,314
TDTESS- 3,258
Milk- 2,165

I was hoping TDTESS could get 40 mill OW, but that's probably out of reach now.

I said TDESS would make $35 million. Damn, I'm good.

And good for Clint Eastwood... I figured it would come down to him and Streep/Hoffman.

im not expecting much, But has anybody heard anything on Wendy and Lucy?

undeadmonkey wrote:im not expecting much, But has anybody heard anything on Wendy and Lucy?

Wendy and Lucy was decent according to MCN at that link I posted, it got 6,000 at 2 theatres.

From the Saturday Estimate here is the top 5 and PTA

Top 5

1. The Day The Earth Stood Still - 32 M
2. Four Christmases - 12.2 M
3. Twilight - 7.3 M
4. Bolt - 6.9 M
5. Nothing Like the Holidays - 4 M
. . .
Delgo -$400,000

PTA

1. Gran Torino - $268,000 / 6 theatres = 44K
2. Doubt - $492,000 / 15 theatres = 32K
3. The Reader - $165,000 / 8 theatres = 28K
4. Frost/Nixon - $605,000/ 30 theatres= 15K
5. Slumdog Millionaire - 2.0 M / 169 theatres= 12K
. . .
Milk - 2.5 M / 330 theatres= 7.7K

I'm thinking Milk opened wide a little too quickly. How on earth did I think Delgo would be over in the Over/Under this week???

I read on BOM that Delgo actually has the worst wide release opening since 1982...

Don't know about that, but according to BOM, it's the first film EVER to be releasd in more than 2,000 theaters and not even make $1 million on its OW. Here's a link.

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/worstopenings.htm?page=WRSTOPN20&sort=opening&order=ASC&p=.htm

Holy hell, what a craptastic opening.

Shit, Shryke, its the first ever wide opening to not make 2 million dollars, let alone one.

There's a new Poll Question up at TLMR, in case anyone's interested. It's about Will Smith.

http://www.thelatestmoviereviews.com/2008/12/19/weeklypoll17.html

Do the failures of Nobel Son and Delgo mean the end of Freestyle Releasing? I think yes (right now they only have five films on their release slate*, unless one is a blockbuster you can say bye-bye to another indie label).



*-After Dark's Horrorfest III, Possession, Assassination Of A High School President, The Accidental Husband, Vanilla Gorilla

BOM has 3 of your 5 (Possession, Assassination H.S. Pres., and Accidental Husband) being distributed by Yari Film Group which isn't any better. They can't even get their films to the screen.

Yari actually does their releases through Freestyle. Same thing with After Dark.